Материнская из всех сделок или пропагандистский блеф: анализ переговоров с Ираном
Источник: https://nickgriffin544956.substack.com/p/mother-of-all-tacos-or-propaganda
Краткое содержание
Ник Гриффин анализирует потенциальное соглашение между США и Ираном в контексте геополитических переговоров. Он указывает на противоречивые позиции: создаваемая Персидским заливом Управление проливов настаивает на полном иранском суверенитете над нефтяным транзитом в заливе, в то время как Иран требует огромные выплаты в качестве военного возмещения. Гриффин предполагает две возможности: либо Трамп вот-вот испытает унижение, либо это хореографический танец, призванный скрыть следы тех, кто стремится к тотальной войне.
Анализ экономического и политического контекста
Гриффин предположительно указывает на инсайдерскую торговлю — те, кто знал о приближающемся объявлении Трампа о принятии переработанного обамовского соглашения с Ираном, могли бы заработать на фьючерсах нефти и энергетических акциях. Он критикует членов внутреннего круга Трампа за возможное использование инсайдерской информации для спекуляций. Гриффин отмечает, что Трамп уже подготовил почву для реверсивных решений в течение 48 часов, закомментировав потенциальное начало бомбардировок на «намного более высоком уровне и интенсивности, чем раньше».
Сценарии развития
Гриффин рассматривает несколько сценариев. Если соглашение реально, он предполагает, что более мудрые головы в Израиле и его окружении преобладали над Нетаньяху и Смотричем. ИДФ застрял в Ливане, и существует опасность повторного раунда поражения системы Iron Dome иранскими ракетами. Военные эксперты и планировщики, которые ещё до войны советовали Трампу, что это плохая идея, могут иметь голос в переговорах.
Последствия для глобального порядка
Если соглашение будет реальным и скажется на контроле над Проливом Ормуз, это станет унижением такого масштаба, что история может датировать конец американского столетия гегемонии либо началом войны Трампа-Нетаньяху, либо подписанием этого «соглашения». Бывшие союзники и клиентские государства будут склоняться в сторону БРИКС. Волна отчаянной скупки нефти, как только проливы откроются, будет включать меньше долларов и больше юаней, рублей и рупий. Де-долларизация будет ускоряться. Американское отступление от глобальной военной империи станет неизбежной финансовой необходимостью.
Критический анализ пропаганды
Гриффин предположительно рассматривает также возможность того, что всё это просто пропаганда — камуфляж для оправдания того, что западные державы так или иначе разрушат энергетическую инфраструктуру всего Персидского залива. «Безумный оранжевый человек» + «Сумасшедшие муллы со смертельными желаниями» = Глобальная катастрофа — уравнение, которое удовлетворит основные СМИ и успокоит большинство населения, убеждая их, что их беды — результат ужасной аварии, а не намеренной политики.
Значимость
Анализ Гриффина затрагивает критические вопросы американского геополитического влияния, де-долларизации глобальной экономики и конца однополярного мира, предполагая смещение в сторону многополярности или китайского доминирования.
🧾 Транскрипт (формат)
Mother of All TACOs or Propaganda Bluff?
Источник: https://nickgriffin544956.substack.com/p/mother-of-all-tacos-or-propaganda
The newly formed PGSA is insisting on full Iranian sovereignty of over Gulf oil transit, while Tehran is determined to extract huge war compensation payments. Either Trump is about to be utterly humiliated, or this is just a cheorgraphed dance designed to cover the tracks of those pushing for total wat. Anyone who knew that Trump was about to annouce his near-acceptance of a recyled Obama agreement between the USA and Iran, would have been able to make (another) killing with oil futures and various energy-related stocks. Perhaps that explains everything, whatever the end goal of the people operating the Orange Puppet, it’s clear that members of his inner circle are being allowed to dive repeatedly into the speculation trough with their inside knowledge. In which case, we can expect yet another reversal within 48 hours. Indeed, Don Don has already prepared the way with his comment - virtually ignored by all sorts of commentators desperate for some good news - “If they don’t agree, the bombing starts, and it will be, sadly, at a much higher level and intensity than it was before.” Or perhaps, just possibly, it’s for real this time. In which case the most likely reason is that wiser heads than Netanyahu and Smotrich have prevailed in Tel Aviv and its sub-office on the Hill. With the IDF getting bogged down yet again in Lebanon (and that before Hezbollah fully roll out jamming-proof fibre optic drones) and alarm over the possibility of another round of watching Iranian missiles turn the Iron Dome into a giant kitchen colander, the argument for avoiding another escalation may have won - for now at least.
That message will also be coming from the real military experts and planners - the ones who even before Trump went to war advised him that it was a really bad idea. See the Washington Post headline below for confirmation of the problems faced both by Israel and by the US military. There’s another potential ‘peace party’ among the grown ups too. With Trump’s upcoming visit to China still on, there will be plenty of backdoor discussions between the US and the CCP. Perhaps Beijing took the opportunity of offering the President a sort of ‘deal’ of their own: Get your naval boot off our oil supply line and come for a smile-fest, or we’ll remove it by force and add to your public humiliation even more. That said, it’s hard to see that Trump and the USA could be any more humiliated - short of having half their Middle East fleet sunk - than will be the case if this Worstest, Most Ugliest Deal in History does become reality.
Iran might just agree to some sort of uranium deal on the Obama line, but part of the price is already clear. Tehran’s newly created Persian Gulf Strait Authority insists that any deal must put control over the Strait of Hormuz, including the collection of tolls, in the hands of Iran. If this goes ahead, it will be humilation on such a scale that History will date the end of the short American Century of global hegemony either from the date of the start of the Trump/Netanyahu war, or from the signing of this ‘deal’. Former allies and client states will read the writing on the wall and move sharply in the direction of BRICS. The wave of desperate oil buying which will being the moment the Straits open will involve fewer Dollars and more Yuan, Rubles and Rupees. Dedollarisation, both in oil sales and in global trade generally, will speed up even further. When it comes to international trade, this deal will send the US$ in the direction of wampum beads.
US retreat from global military empire will become unavoidable financial necessity. As for US weapons systems, even in the hands of two military giants, they couldn’t defeat a third or fourth rate power, and have shown themselves to be as overrated as they are overpriced. New revelations in the Washington Post suggest that Trump and the War Party will be getting it in the neck from the military men whose troops are at the sharp end. The Unipolar World which arrived in 1945 just ended. Welcome to multipolarity if we’re lucky, and ChinaWorld if we are less so. Although Chinese trading imperialism is a lot less exploitative and disruptive for the Third World than the Yankee bomb-and-quarry approach, and the more middle class consumers China helps to create in Afghanistan and Africa, the fewer Afghans and Africans will want to up sticks and wash up here as ‘refugees’. That's if this ‘deal’ is for real, which it could still very easily turn out not to be. The US and ultra-Zionist deep states continue to have a huge vested interest in the wholesale destruction of the energy infrastructure of the entire Gulf region.
That objective, however, has such terrible implications for the whole world that even the pyschopaths involved know that they need to cover their tracks and put in place the right excuses. ‘Orange Man Mad’ + ‘Crazy Death-Wish Mullahs’ = Global Disaster is an equation which would surely keep the mainstream media satisfied and most of the public reassured that their woes are the result of a terrible accident. In which case, the current ‘near deal’ will break down like all the other plans before it. Not be accident, but because it’s meant to fail. The aim in such a case would not be peace, but camouflage; window-dressing to sell the argument “Look how hard we tried, but they left us no alternative. Yes, we’ve wrecked your world, but we really didn’t have a choice. So quit your whining and accept the gov-corp boot stamping on your face. Forever.” Nick Griffin Beyond the Pale is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.
It's the Maps, Stupid! NICK GRIFFIN · 4 APR Trump is an insane megalomaniac, surrounded by crooks getting rich through insider trading. Trump has been fooled, bribed or blackmailed by Netanyahu into going to war for Greater Israel. Trump is just a patsy for the World Economic Forum, which sees the Gulf energy crisis as the perfect way to shrink our carbon footprint and advance their depopulation … Read full story